East Thurrock United FC vs Weston-super-Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
OXF
0 - 1
EAS
19%
20%
61%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 2
BIS
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 3
WHI
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
CHM
2 - 2
EAS
41%
23%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
DAR
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Weston-super-Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
WES
0 - 2
EBB
20%
24%
55%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAI
3 - 0
WES
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
WES
33%
24%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
WES
0 - 1
HUN
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
WES
1 - 2
CON
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |