East Thurrock United FC vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
STA
2 - 1
EAS
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
EAS
2 - 3
WES
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WEA
3 - 0
EAS
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
EAS
2 - 1
CHI
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
HEM
3 - 2
EAS
46%
22%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
WEL
2 - 0
CHM
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SLO
1 - 0
WEL
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WEL
2 - 1
BAT
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 1
WEL
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
WES
0 - 1
WEL
24%
25%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |