East Thurrock United FC vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HAM
1 - 2
EAS
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
HEM
1 - 1
EAS
31%
23%
46%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
0 - 1
HUN
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
EAS
3 - 1
DUL
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 0
TON
60%
21%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 2
WES
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 2
BIS
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
OXF
2 - 1
WEL
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 4
CHA
15%
23%
63%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 3
BOR
29%
27%
45%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |