East Thurrock United FC vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BIS
0 - 4
EAS
15%
18%
68%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
EBB
6 - 1
EAS
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
EAS
1 - 2
POO
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
EAS
1 - 0
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 1
HAM
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 0
WHI
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WES
3 - 0
OXF
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 1
DAR
25%
24%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 0
HEM
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 1
BAT
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |