East Thurrock United FC vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
EAS
3 - 1
MER
43%
25%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BUR
4 - 2
EAS
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
EAS
50%
22%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
4 - 1
FAR
78%
14%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 1
WIN
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
STA
3 - 0
LEW
80%
13%
6%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LEW
1 - 2
KIN
13%
21%
66%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TON
1 - 0
LEW
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HAR
4 - 1
LEW
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
HAM
2 - 1
LEW
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |