East Thurrock United FC vs Hungerford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
EAS
3 - 1
DUL
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 0
TON
60%
21%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LEW
1 - 1
EAS
10%
17%
73%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 0
HAR
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EAS
4 - 1
VCD
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Hungerford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
HUN
2 - 1
LEA
47%
27%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
HIT
2 - 3
HUN
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LEA
0 - 0
HUN
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
HIS
0 - 3
HUN
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HUN
4 - 0
FRO
53%
26%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |