East Thurrock United FC vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BRA
4 - 0
EAS
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 3
CON
61%
21%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
EAS
4 - 2
WHI
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
EAS
4 - 0
ALD
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +3 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
HAM
5 - 1
EAS
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
FYL
1 - 1
CHE
81%
13%
7%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
EBB
0 - 1
CHE
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
CHE
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 2
GUI
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
HAL
4 - 0
CHE
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |