East Thurrock United FC vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
HAM
1 - 0
EAS
62%
21%
18%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 1
EAS
67%
18%
14%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
WES
1 - 1
EAS
57%
20%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 2
HEM
28%
22%
51%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 2
WHI
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CHM
2 - 0
GLO
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
OXF
4 - 0
CHM
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CHM
0 - 2
WHI
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
CHM
1 - 0
CHI
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CHM
3 - 2
EAS
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |