East Thurrock United FC vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
WHI
1 - 2
EAS
51%
22%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CON
1 - 4
EAS
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 2
CHI
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 2
POO
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BOG
0 - 2
EAS
30%
21%
49%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
CHM
4 - 2
WHI
60%
20%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CHM
2 - 1
POO
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CHM
1 - 0
CON
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
WHI
2 - 0
CHM
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HUN
1 - 1
CHM
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |