East Thurrock United FC vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
PET
3 - 2
EAS
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 1
PET
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 0
EAS
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
EAS
3 - 1
BOW
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MER
2 - 1
EAS
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BOG
3 - 0
SIT
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BOG
0 - 2
CAR
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
WOR
3 - 0
BOG
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 5
BOG
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
BOG
1 - 1
HOR
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |