East Thurrock United FC vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 1
EAS
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 1
TOO
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VCD
2 - 2
EAS
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 1
TON
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MET
3 - 4
EAS
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 0
BAT
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
SHO
1 - 3
BAT
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BAT
2 - 2
SHO
58%
22%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SUT
1 - 3
BAT
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
POO
0 - 2
BAT
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |