Cup 1/64
Global 5-3
East Stirlingshire vs Buckie Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CLY
7 - 1
THE
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
THE
1 - 3
QUE
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BLA
3 - 0
THE
77%
16%
8%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
THE
1 - 3
STR
24%
24%
53%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
THE
0 - 1
ALL
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
BUC
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 2
BRE
22%
22%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
THE
1 - 0
BUC
55%
21%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BON
0 - 2
BUC
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
WIG
1 - 7
BUC
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 10 | 33 | 0 |