East Stirlingshire vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
50.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
PET
2 - 0
THE
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
THE
2 - 1
BER
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
THE
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
THE
0 - 1
CLY
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
QUE
5 - 1
THE
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
AYR
1 - 3
AIR
47%
23%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
AIR
0 - 0
AYR
54%
21%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FAL
3 - 2
AYR
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AYR
3 - 2
DUN
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAM
3 - 2
AYR
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |