East Stirlingshire vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
57.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
DUM
3 - 2
THE
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
THE
2 - 0
BLA
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
THE
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
THE
2 - 1
ELG
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
CLY
2 - 0
THE
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 0
QOS
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 2
AYR
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 1
BRE
49%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AYR
3 - 3
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 4
AYR
45%
23%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |