East Stirlingshire vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
STR
1 - 2
THE
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 0
THE
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
THE
3 - 1
BLA
51%
23%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ELG
0 - 1
THE
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BER
2 - 2
THE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 1
ALL
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ALL
0 - 2
CWB
55%
23%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
CWB
1 - 1
ALL
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ALL
3 - 1
CWB
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PET
2 - 0
ALL
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |