Cup 1/64
Global 4-3
East Kilbride vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Kilbride
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PRE
2 - 0
EAS
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 1
EAS
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 4
EAS
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 2
EDI
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DAL
1 - 2
EAS
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BRO
6 - 0
FOR
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
KEI
85%
11%
5%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
BUC
2 - 6
FOR
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROT
90%
7%
3%
|
35 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 4
FOR
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |