East Kilbride vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
56.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Kilbride
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
EAS
3 - 3
TRA
69%
17%
14%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
EAS
3 - 1
GRE
93%
6%
2%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
EAS
18%
19%
63%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EAS
3 - 1
BRA
77%
14%
9%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
EAS
4 - 1
HOM
62%
19%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
AYR
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 0
AYR
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AIR
0 - 1
AYR
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 2
LIV
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 1
PET
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |