East Kilbride vs Caledonian Braves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
6º
1º
24
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
19 | 77 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 71 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
24 | 62 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 59 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 58 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 53 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 53 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 51 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 43 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 32 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 31 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 30 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
64% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
36% | 98% |
|
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Kilbride
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
EAS
3 - 2
COV
56%
20%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRX
1 - 4
EAS
16%
19%
65%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
4 - 4
EAS
4%
10%
86%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
3 - 0
THE
86%
10%
5%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CWB
1 - 4
EAS
13%
19%
69%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caledonian Braves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CBF
0 - 0
GRE
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CBF
3 - 2
STI
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 3
CBF
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CWB
1 - 1
CBF
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CBF
1 - 0
BFC
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |