East Fife vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
EAS
4 - 1
AIR
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
EAS
3 - 3
GRE
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
ABE
1 - 2
EAS
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1951 |
TLA
1 - 1
EAS
51%
22%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
EAS
3 - 0
CEL
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1951 |
MHE
2 - 4
HOM
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1951 |
MHE
3 - 2
RAI
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
GRE
5 - 0
MHE
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1951 |
CEL
3 - 1
MHE
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1951 |
STM
3 - 0
MHE
40%
24%
35%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |