East Fife vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 1
DUM
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FAL
2 - 0
EAS
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 2
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
COV
3 - 1
EAS
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
RAI
2 - 1
EAS
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
HOM
2 - 1
ICT
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HOM
2 - 1
HIB
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
ARB
0 - 1
HOM
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
HOM
6 - 2
DUN
64%
21%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
HOM
3 - 1
RAI
57%
22%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |