East Fife vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
EAS
0 - 0
QUE
17%
21%
63%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
0 - 0
RAI
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 0
DUN
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 2
SPA
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CLY
1 - 0
EAS
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
STM
26%
24%
49%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
BLA
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
ALL
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
QOS
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ICT
3 - 1
GRE
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |