East Fife vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
EAS
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 2
AIR
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
RAI
1 - 2
EAS
62%
23%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 0
FOR
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
STE
0 - 2
EAS
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ALL
2 - 1
GRE
43%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
ROS
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 2
GRE
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 2
ICT
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 0
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |