East Fife vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
EAS
66%
18%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 3
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
QOS
2 - 2
EAS
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 1
ALL
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 2
STE
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BLA
1 - 0
GRE
17%
21%
63%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FAL
4 - 1
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 2
HAM
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LIV
0 - 2
GRE
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |