East Fife vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 4
ABE
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 0
EDI
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
THE
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BER
2 - 0
EAS
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CLY
0 - 0
EAS
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
ALL
1 - 1
DUN
11%
19%
71%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 2
DUN
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ICT
4 - 0
DUN
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 2
HAM
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |