East Fife vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
8º
4º
61
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STR
2 - 2
EAS
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
EAS
4 - 0
STJ
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 0
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 1
EAS
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
EAS
0 - 3
BRA
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 1
ELG
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
7 - 0
DUM
51%
20%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STE
1 - 3
DUM
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DUM
4 - 0
BLA
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 2
DUM
35%
25%
41%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |