East Fife vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STE
1 - 1
EAS
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 0
AIR
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
STR
2 - 0
EAS
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 3
FOR
40%
24%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GLA
5 - 0
EAS
84%
12%
4%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AYR
0 - 2
GLA
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
5 - 1
AYR
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 2
BRE
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STE
1 - 1
AYR
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 2
AIR
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |