East Fife vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 1
EAS
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 2
BRE
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 0
ALB
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 0
EAS
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
EAS
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
AYR
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
STR
0 - 1
AYR
53%
21%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
AYR
1 - 5
QOS
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
AYR
0 - 0
ALL
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 0
AYR
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |