East Fife vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PET
2 - 0
EAS
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
EAS
0 - 1
RAI
47%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 1
EAS
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ALL
0 - 1
EAS
41%
25%
33%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
ABE
5 - 0
EAS
72%
19%
10%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
RAI
0 - 1
AYR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
AYR
5 - 0
STR
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
AYR
1 - 1
QUE
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
QUE
0 - 3
AYR
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AYR
4 - 2
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |