East Fife vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
EAS
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 1
DUN
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 6
GRE
20%
22%
58%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
EAS
66%
18%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 3
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 3
ARB
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 3
AYR
58%
21%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
STE
4 - 4
ARB
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALL
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |