East Coast Bays vs Tauranga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
7.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
74.1%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
12º
9º
25
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Coast Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 0
ECB
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 2
ECB
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 3
BAO
54%
20%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
ECB
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 2
EAS
19%
18%
63%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Tauranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TCU
1 - 2
BAO
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TCU
0 - 5
AUC
35%
23%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 2
TCU
21%
21%
58%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 1
TCU
8%
13%
80%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | -3 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
TCU
12%
17%
71%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | 0 |