East Coast Bays vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
65.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
12º
9º
31
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
31 | 53 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 46 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 42 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 41 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 38 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 37 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 29 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 21 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 20 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 19 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 17 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 13 |
12º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Coast Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TCU
2 - 2
ECB
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BIR
0 - 0
ECB
76%
14%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ECB
2 - 2
HAW
39%
20%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 2
WES
23%
19%
58%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 3
EAS
19%
19%
62%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 1
WES
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 1
BAO
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AUC
7 - 3
MEL
90%
8%
3%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
WCR
0 - 3
AUC
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 5
AUC
8%
16%
77%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | -1 |