Dziugas Telsiai vs FC Hegelmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
64.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
9º
59
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DAI
2 - 2
DTE
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 2
ZAL
8%
19%
73%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 3
PAN
10%
21%
70%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 0
DTE
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DTE
0 - 2
SUD
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
HLI
6 - 0
SUD
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DAI
1 - 0
HLI
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
HLI
3 - 2
KZA
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
HLI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
HLI
0 - 1
TRA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |