Dynamo Dresden II vs Fortuna Chemnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 2
DYN
81%
14%
5%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DYN
2 - 0
WAG
76%
15%
10%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
DYN
1 - 1
CHE
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GRU
3 - 0
DYN
15%
20%
65%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -3 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DYN
1 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FCH
4 - 0
GRU
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCH
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FCH
2 - 2
BUD
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
WAC
5 - 1
FCH
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FCH
0 - 3
VFL
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |