Dynamo Dresden II vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
DYN
2 - 0
HAL
16%
23%
61%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
DYN
0 - 0
EIN
67%
18%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
WAG
2 - 2
DYN
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
DYN
0 - 1
BUD
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
DYN
27%
23%
49%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 1
ERZ
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 0
BUD
17%
25%
59%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 1
ERZ
56%
22%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
WAC
1 - 0
ERZ
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BUD
5 - 2
ERZ
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |