Dynamo Dresden II vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
POS
1 - 3
DYN
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DYN
3 - 2
VFL
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
DYN
2 - 0
LOK
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AUE
2 - 3
DYN
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
DYN
5 - 0
GER
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 2
BUD
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
RBL
3 - 2
ERZ
84%
13%
4%
|
32 | 72 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ERZ
0 - 1
BDR
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
ZWI
0 - 0
ERZ
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ERZ
0 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |