Düsseldorfer vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
81%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düsseldorfer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SCH
10 - 2
DUS
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DUS
1 - 2
SPE
8%
13%
79%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
STR
5 - 0
DUS
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
DUS
1 - 0
TSG
6%
15%
80%
|
14 | 57 | 43 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
HIL
4 - 2
DUS
84%
10%
6%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VFB
4 - 1
GRA
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VFB
3 - 0
JDH
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +3 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VFB
4 - 1
VEL
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
KFI
0 - 1
VFB
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SFB
2 - 1
VFB
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -3 |