Duruji vs Iberia Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
ADU
3 - 1
DUR
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
DUR
2 - 4
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 0
DUR
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
DUR
3 - 4
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
DUR
0 - 3
FPT
81%
12%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Iberia Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
IBE
2 - 3
HER
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
7 - 1
IBE
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
IBE
0 - 2
ABU
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 0
IBE
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
IBE
1 - 3
IVE
13%
19%
69%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -2 |