Duruji vs Aragvi Dusheti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 3
DUR
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
DUR
3 - 4
ACH
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
SKO
4 - 1
DUR
59%
21%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
DUR
7 - 1
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ABU
2 - 2
DUR
41%
22%
38%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ADU
3 - 1
ALA
47%
22%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
ACH
3 - 0
ADU
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
ADU
6 - 0
SKO
76%
15%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 4
ADU
9%
16%
75%
|
55 | 21 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
ADU
5 - 2
ABU
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |