Duruji vs Aragvi Dusheti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
HER
4 - 0
DUR
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
DUR
2 - 2
ABU
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
DUR
5 - 1
IVE
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
ACH
4 - 1
DUR
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
0 - 0
ALG
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
ADU
1 - 3
MET
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
TSK
2 - 1
ADU
47%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
ADU
5 - 0
SAM
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
SKO
1 - 6
ADU
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
ADU
3 - 1
MAR
30%
23%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |