Duruji vs Algeti XXI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
3 - 0
IVE
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
MET
3 - 0
DUR
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
DUR
0 - 4
TSK
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 3
DUR
35%
23%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
DUR
3 - 5
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Algeti XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 5
MET
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
TSK
1 - 0
ALG
83%
11%
5%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 0
SAM
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
SKO
0 - 1
ALG
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 1
MAR
10%
18%
72%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | -1 |