Dürrenast vs Bümpliz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LER
1 - 0
DUR
49%
21%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCS
4 - 0
DUR
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
DUR
2 - 1
THI
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BUM
5 - 4
DUR
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
DUR
2 - 1
LAU
22%
22%
57%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Bümpliz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BUM
1 - 0
LAU
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
THI
6 - 3
BUM
44%
23%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BUM
0 - 6
LAU
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BUM
5 - 4
DUR
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 4
BUM
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |