Durham Storm vs Hamilton City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durham Storm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
NOR
1 - 3
DUR
20%
24%
57%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
OSH
0 - 5
DUR
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
DUR
0 - 1
SCW
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
DUR
3 - 1
OSH
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
FLS
2 - 3
DUR
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hamilton City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
SCW
4 - 0
LON
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
FLS
3 - 0
LON
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
SHO
4 - 3
LON
66%
19%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
OSH
5 - 2
LON
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
LON
0 - 2
SCW
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |