Durango vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
7º
5º
20
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 2
DUR
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DUR
5 - 0
MFC
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DUR
2 - 0
LCU
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 0
DUR
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
DUR
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
LEO
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ADG
3 - 1
ZAC
15%
21%
64%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 0
TRI
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TDA
3 - 0
ZAC
14%
20%
65%
|
52 | 14 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 1
RAF
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |