Durango vs Tritones Vallarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
8º
2º
8
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 25 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 21 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 17 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 16 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 16 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 15 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 15 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 14 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 13 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 13 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 12 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 4 |
12º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
58% | 6.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
22% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ADP
1 - 0
DUR
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 0
ADP
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 3
DUR
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 1
ZAC
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 1
RAF
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
TDA
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
TRI
20%
24%
55%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
4 - 2
CFT
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 0
ADG
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
TRI
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |