Durango vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 2
DUR
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DUR
3 - 5
PUM
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DUR
0 - 0
LOB
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 2
TIJ
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 1
DUR
34%
29%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
REB
0 - 0
GUE
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VER
1 - 0
REB
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
REB
4 - 0
UDG
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
IRA
1 - 0
REB
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
REB
1 - 1
NEC
19%
26%
55%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |