Durango vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
DUR
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 0
TEC
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
JAG
0 - 1
DUR
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
DUR
0 - 0
LOB
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 1
DUR
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
ORI
2 - 0
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TEC
0 - 1
ORI
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ORI
2 - 1
JAG
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 2
ORI
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 1
CAZ
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |