Durango vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
DUR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
2 - 0
LEO
26%
26%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 1
DUR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
UDG
0 - 0
DUR
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
DUR
0 - 2
TIJ
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VER
2 - 1
MER
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
DOR
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
MER
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
ALT
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
MER
0 - 2
UDG
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |