Durango vs Los Cabos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
7º
5º
10
10º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 0
DUR
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
DUR
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LCU
0 - 0
DUR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
DUR
0 - 1
LCU
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 0
GAV
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Los Cabos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LCU
3 - 2
CIM
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LCU
1 - 1
TAM
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 0
LCU
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LCU
0 - 0
DUR
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
DUR
0 - 1
LCU
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |