Durango vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 0
DUR
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VER
2 - 2
DUR
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
1 - 1
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
DUR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
2 - 0
LEO
26%
26%
49%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LOB
2 - 1
MER
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
LOB
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LOB
2 - 3
LEO
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 2
LOB
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
LOB
0 - 1
VER
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |