Liga Premier México Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Durango vs Gavilanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
GAV
3 - 2
DUR
32%
29%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
DUR
6 - 0
TRI
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
DUR
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 0
DUR
21%
25%
55%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DUR
4 - 1
MIN
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gavilanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
GAV
3 - 2
DUR
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GAV
1 - 1
CFO
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
CFO
0 - 1
GAV
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CFO
1 - 1
GAV
20%
25%
55%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GAV
2 - 0
NAY
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |